In 2010, the total output of China's cotton was 6.63 million tons, which was 2.4% lower than the previous year

The China Cotton Association estimated in October that the total output of China's cotton in 2010 was 6.63 million tons, which was 10,000 tons less than the expected number in September, which was 2.4% lower than the previous year.

According to the China Cotton Association's November 25 news, in the first half and the second half of October 2010, the Cotton Association of China Cotton Association and the Xinjiang Huatai Cotton Professional Cooperative were divided into two counties in the mainland: 12 provinces and 310 counties in Xinjiang Autonomous Region (city, The 2641 households of cotton farmers conducted final verification of the area, adjusted the cotton area across the country, and produced the latest forecasts and investigated the picking and selling conditions.

According to field surveys and consultations, the area of ​​cotton planted in Xinjiang, Shandong, Hebei and Henan was adjusted. The actual area in Xinjiang was higher than the original forecast, the area of ​​the three provinces of Anhui, Shandong and Henan was lower than the original forecast, and the area of ​​cotton planted in the country and previous forecasts. Basically consistent, slightly flat compared with last year. According to the weighted average area of ​​cotton planters surveyed, by the end of October, the country's cotton planting area was 78 million mu, which was 1% lower than the previous year, compared with the previous year. In October, the national cotton was in the period of tufting and picking, and most of the country's cotton area was light. The thermal conditions are good, and cotton is used for the flocculation and picking. There are also periods of cloudy rain and sunshine, but the impact is not significant. The growth of cotton in some cotton regions has improved, and the production forecast has been increased compared with the previous period. Affected by the dual factors of area adjustment and weather factors, the total output in October is estimated to be 6.63 million tons, which is 10,000 tons less than the expected number in September, which is 2.4% lower than the previous year.

In October, the picking of seed cotton reached the peak and the amount of listed products increased. The progress of picking in the country exceeded 60%. The selling price continued to rise sharply, especially in the second half of the month. The overall sale of cotton farmers was more positive and the sales progress exceeded 40%. However, due to the lag of growth period and shortage of pickers, picking, The progress of the sale is still slower than the same period of last year. According to the weighted average area of ​​cotton planters surveyed, the overall national picking progress was 65.2%, a year-on-year slowdown of 16.5 percentage points; the cotton farmers' sale progress was 43.6%, 12.5 percentage points lower than the same period of last year; the average price of cotton farmers was 11.22 yuan/kg, a month-on-month increase of 18.7. %, up 79.8% year-on-year.

After final verification, the decline in cotton planting area in the Yellow River Basin was lower than previously forecasted data. Hebei, Henan, and Shandong provinces saw a larger reduction in cotton planting area, and the area of ​​the whole basin fell by 11% from the previous year. Since October, most of the cotton fields in the Yellow River Basin have fine weather, which is beneficial to cotton bolling and bolling. Although there are cool and rainy days in some areas from late mid-late to late 30s, the impact on cotton is limited, and the growth of cotton has been restored to a certain extent. A slight increase in the previous period, but the size of the larger decline, the total output is still reduced. Due to the delay in the growth period, cotton farmers are generally using ethephon ripening, cotton picking progress is accelerated, the end of the month is nearing completion. As of October 31, the picking progress of the river basin reached 85%, an increase of 42% from the previous month and a year-on-year decrease of 4 percentage points. In addition to the lag in growth, another reason for the slower picking progress this year is that the pick-up workers are nervous and the cost is high, especially for large cotton producers. This year, the price of cotton has risen by a large margin, and the sale of cotton farmers has been more positive than in previous years. The sale progress has been slightly faster than the same period of last year. However, due to cotton farmers in Shandong, Hebei, and Henan, there is a tradition of depositing cotton, and the overall progress of the sale is still the slowest in the country. As of October 31, the cotton farmers' sales progress was 36%, an increase of 11% from the previous period and an increase of 4 percentage points year-on-year. The average sales price of cotton farmers in the river basin in October was 11.11 yuan/kg, up 75.8% year-on-year, of which the average price in Shandong reached 11.32 yuan/kg, which is the highest in all cotton producing provinces in the Mainland.

In October, the light and warm water conditions in most parts of the cotton region of the Yangtze River Basin were more suitable. In some parts of the cotton area, low temperature and rain appeared, which caused the upper part of the cotton to fall off and the middle and lower blight increased, affecting the cotton yield and quality. The output is expected to be slightly smaller than the previous month. However, due to the larger increase in area, the total output still slightly increased from the previous year. Affected by the weather in the first half of the month, cotton was not able to properly boil and the picking progress was slow. In the second half of the month, the cotton was concentrated in the bolls. The cotton farmers were busy catching cotton, but they were unable to finish the picking themselves. The shortage of picking workers and the high cost resulted in slower overall picking progress.

As of October 31, the picking progress was 58.6%, an increase of 42% compared with the previous month and a year-on-year decrease of 24%. Most of the cotton farmers in the basin harvested and sold, and the sale progressed quickly. In the second half of the month, as the price increase increased, some farmers reluctantly sold their goods and waited for sales. As of October 31, the progress of the sale was 40.6%, an increase of 33.6 percentage points from the previous quarter and a year-on-year decrease of 23.6 percentage points. The average sales price of cotton farmers in the river basin in October was RMB 11.11/kg, up 76.8% year-on-year, of which Hubei and Jiangsu had higher prices and the average price was RMB 11.23/kg.

In October, most of the inland cotton areas in the northwest have high temperatures and sufficient heat, which is beneficial to cotton bolling and harvesting. However, the precipitation in northern Xinjiang cotton area and most cotton areas in the late of the early period had a slight impact on cotton boll opening and picking. After the final verification of cotton planting areas in Xinjiang, the area this year will be adjusted to 27.35 million mu, an increase of 6.1% year-on-year, of which the area will increase and the area of ​​the XPCC will decrease. Despite the slight impact of weather conditions and a slight decline in yields, due to area adjustment factors, Xinjiang's cotton production will reach 2.92 million tons, an increase of 0.6% year-on-year. Affected by the weather, the cotton boll opening period in Xinjiang has been delayed by about 20 days compared with previous years, and the cotton picking progress is late. As of October 31st, Xinjiang's picking progress was 59.1%, a year-on-year decrease of 23%. After adopting the Xinjiang cotton rail transport subsidy, the purchase price is basically in line with the mainland, especially this year, Xinjiang cotton ranks higher than the mainland, with the highest price and the largest increase. The average selling price of local cotton farmers in Xinjiang in October was RMB 11.41/kg, up 84% year-on-year. Due to the relatively good prices, the overall sale of cotton farmers is positive, and cotton picking has basically been sold. However, due to the implementation of the second settlement, the XPCC’s lower prices, individual cotton farmers are optimistic about the market, there is a phenomenon of cotton. As of October 31, the progress of the whole country's cross-selling was 51.6%, a year-on-year decrease of 20.4%.

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